Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.234008 0.269963 0.310764 0.360731 0.420593 0.490403 0.578559
2025-10-05 0.181323 0.228517 0.288130 0.370024 0.481288 0.629672 0.846801
2025-10-12 0.150558 0.202001 0.272187 0.377206 0.534387 0.767701 1.153765
2025-10-19 0.129982 0.183075 0.260036 0.383400 0.583435 0.908767 1.508984
2025-10-26 0.116286 0.170640 0.253607 0.394814 0.640717 1.075515 1.964682
2025-11-02 0.104053 0.157994 0.243987 0.398047 0.683579 1.227629 2.451081
2025-11-09 0.093696 0.146530 0.234005 0.397994 0.719465 1.375593 2.989951
2025-11-16 0.084656 0.135846 0.223466 0.394499 0.747239 1.514374 3.570020
2025-11-23 0.076652 0.125817 0.212482 0.387884 0.766701 1.640369 4.179013
2025-11-30 0.072135 0.121265 0.210614 0.398612 0.825557 1.876549 5.226015
2025-12-07 0.066041 0.113124 0.200888 0.391376 0.841948 2.012339 6.045736
2025-12-14 0.061819 0.107950 0.196155 0.393894 0.882127 2.225574 7.271110
2025-12-21 0.057553 0.102327 0.190009 0.392705 0.914265 2.432606 8.649306
2025-12-28 0.054940 0.099635 0.189509 0.404518 0.984208 2.784973 10.953146
2026-01-04 0.052257 0.096502 0.187660 0.412803 1.047101 3.144167 13.671367
2026-01-11 0.049720 0.093387 0.185435 0.419758 1.108447 3.528638 16.988810
2026-01-18 0.047832 0.091411 0.185455 0.432491 1.191528 4.038993 21.775561
2026-01-25 0.045470 0.088188 0.182245 0.436098 1.246959 4.470941 26.758919
2026-02-01 0.043084 0.084683 0.177962 0.436040 1.290584 4.879495 32.334186
2026-02-08 0.040678 0.080914 0.172630 0.432142 1.320158 5.244193 38.315808
2026-02-15 0.038284 0.076967 0.166441 0.424768 1.335488 5.552635 44.507369
2026-02-22 0.037126 0.075707 0.166713 0.436728 1.428225 6.327631 57.950457
2026-03-01 0.035034 0.072121 0.160765 0.428661 1.440099 6.668440 67.210330